Copyright ©2003-2008 Anthony Canales

Anthony Canales is the President of the San Fernando Valley NRA Member’s Council. He works as a Quality Control Manager in Glendale, California. He is married with one son.
 

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August 14, 2004

"...' He knows people want to go and hunt' , said
     Raleigh Helmick, who works at the Iowa State
     Penitentiary. " But I can't believe that our
     forefathers , when they sat down and decided
     you have the right to bear arms, had in the back
     of their minds that somebody would have a weapon
     like an Uzi or an M-16, M-14. They didn't have a
     clue'..."
 
                        - Raleigh Helmick, as quoted in
                          an article by James Kuhnehenn
                          in the Philadelphia Inquirer,
                          August 12, about John Kerry.
 
 
To All,
    Mark Twain said it best:
     "...It is better to keep your mouth closed and
         let people think you are a fool than to open
         it and remove all doubt..."  :
 
 
Hearts and Minds, Part One:
     The Lamestream Media is "crowing" about John Kerry's seeming ability to hornswoggle gunowners about his position on gunownership.
 
     In an article by James Kuhnhenn in the Philadelphia Inquirer, he notes that Kerry's use of some talking points from Andrew McKelvey's "Americans For Gun Safety" (and Confiscation) is designed to limit the kind of rank-and-file union vote defections that hamstrung Algore in the 2000 Presidential Election.
 
     But despite the historical principle that the individual right to keep and bear arms has nothing to do with hunting rights, it is apparent that Team Kerry can find a few ignorant shills to vouchsafe Kerry on the gun issue.
 
    Still, it would be safe to say that Raleigh Helmick would find it a tad more difficult to bag a whitetail if John Kerry had his way on "armor piercing" ammunition. And Raleigh Helmick would find it infinitely more expensive to buy that shotgun he might have always wanted if John Edwards had his way on firearms manufacturer liability. In fact, if Edwards were given his natural inclination, it would be financially impossible for firearms and ammunition to be made and/or sold in the United States, given the current legal theories being proposed by certain segments of the Tort Lobby.
 
    Another thing that Helmick fails to take to account is that Kerry/Edwards is also burdened by the coterie of gun confiscation advocates currently ensconced in Donkey Central. Helmick only has to listen to the words of Zell Miller, or Rodney Alexander of Louisiana, to know who really holds the whip hand in the Democrat Party. Add to that the influence of the animal rights wing, and hunting would soon be tossed into the circular file of historical pursuits.
 
     In reality, Helmick would be hard put to convince rational gun owners that Kerry would defend the individual right to keep and bear arms any more vigorously than any other issue Kerry has flipped or flopped for the sake of political expediency. Gun owners need a President made of sterner stuff than Silly Putty when it comes to defending the rights and traditions of the Republic.
 
Story may be found, with registration, at:
 
The Real Kerry Record on the individual right to keep and bear arms can be found at:
 
    
 
Hearts and Minds, Part Deux:
     As with gun owners, the Kerry Campaign's tactic to scam the electorate is being mirrored in the fight over the veteran's vote. Given that the VFW convention is to be held next week, the Presidential Campaign of 2004 may be fast approaching a key moment.
 
    Many have been following the comments of Kerry's squadron mates, peers who are attesting to an image of Kerry that seems closer to the fictional Frank Burns than to any real Audie Murphy or David Hackworth. Despite their revelations having been known to Kerry and his minions prior to the Silly Season of Politics, it was immediately noticeable to political junkies that the Democrat nominee was unable to "splain" certain discrepancies to the public at large.
 
    What is more, it seems that some of the Swift Boat Veterans For Truth's observations have proven to be true, enough to bring further "clarifications" forth from the Bowels of the Kerry Campaign. Christmas in Cambodia, 1968, is now more like late January, 1969, assuming that Richard Nixon followed LBJ's penchant for micromanaging the war effort from the floors of the various Inaugural Balls held in his honor.
 
     Given the above, both active duty military personnel and the members of the various veterans groups will have much to ponder between now and the first Tuesday in November. It would be an interesting turn of events if groups such as the VFW did not endorse Kerry for the Presidency, especially given the importance he has placed on his past military service. It is hard to imagine what would remain of Kerry's campaign strategy absent this endorsement, but suffice it to say that it would take a phenomenal "pitcher" to learn another pitch after their "fast ball" lost it's oomph. Stay tuned.
 
Story basis may be found at:
 
 
 
Double Double, Toil and Trouble Update:
      The not-so-fair-and-mostly-unbalanced coverage by CBS News and the AP Wire Service has been extended to the dismal science yesterday, in coverage of a report released by the CBO on the effect of the various tax cuts enacted during the Bush Administration.
 
     CBS and AP reported yesterday that a Congressional Budget Office study requested by Congressional Democrats shows that "...President Bush's tax cuts since 2001 have shifted more of the tax burden from the nation's rich to middle class families...". They cite numbers from the study that show that the "effective tax rate' for the top 1 percent of taxpayers dropped from 33% in 2001 to 26.7% in 2004, while at the same time showing that the middle 20 % of taxpayers (the CBO report calls it the "middle quintile") only saw a 4% decline for the same time period.
 
    But if one were to dispense with the media's "interpretation" of the CBO report, and go directly to the CBO's website, one can see clearly that the CBO report is another fine example of the old adage "...close enough for government work...".
 
    For example, Page 10, Table 2 of the CBO report does note that under the heading "Total Effective Federal Tax Rate", the Top 1 Percent of incomes do see the reduction from 33.0 to 26.7 in "effective Federal tax rate" during the time period 2001-2004. But what the CBS/AP report does not mention is that, barring renewal of certain aspects of the tax cut, the Top 1 Percent see their Effective Federal Tax Rate jump back to 31.1% in 2005, a huge one-year increase.
 
    In fact, the CBO report does note that certain provisions of the tax bills have limited duration through the 2001-2014 time period. Many tax cut provisions sunset between 2004 and 2010, thus establishing tax increases on autopilot unless a future President proposes, and a future Congress decides, not to raise taxes.
 
    Table 2 also has some interesting ways at slicing and dicing the assumptions used by the CBO statisticians. For example, just under the columns labeled as "Total Effective Federal Tax Rate" is a column labeled "Effective Individual Income Tax Rate. In this column, the lowest "quintile" (lowest 20% of incomes) have an effective individual income tax rate of -5.7% in 2004 (Yes, a negative 5.7% rate. This might have to do with the earned income credit, which is unavailable to the rich).  It also reports that the top 20% pay an effective individual income tax rate of 14.2% in 2004, down from 16.3% in 2001. In the meantime, the middle and "fourth" quintiles pay 3.5% and 6.6% respectively in 2004, down from 3.8% and 7.2% in 2001.
 
    Of course, no CBO report on tax rates and impacts is complete without a table listing the share of Total Federal Tax Liabilities. Here is found the numbers that Shaun Hannity has noted in the past. The highest 20% (quintile) of incomes paid a 65.3% share of all liabilities in 2001, and are scheduled to pay 63.5% in 2004 and 64.3% in 2005. The fourth highest 20% (quintile) paid a total share of Federal Tax Liabilities of 18.5% in 2001, less than one third of the highest quintile. They are also scheduled to pay 19.5% in 2004, and 19.0% in 2005, indicating a divergence from the rate trend effecting the highest quintile.
 
     Given the reduction of Federal Tax liabilities in the top 40% of incomes, and the top 83% of all Federal tax liabilities, the percentage of share of total Federal Tax Liabilities for the middle quintile did go up .5% from 2001 to 2004. But the middle quintiles of incomes are calculated to remain between 10.3-10.5% of all Federal Tax Liabilities between 2004 and 2010. How these others thus indicate a significant "shifting of the tax burden" to the middle class is relatively dependent upon the concept as to how much burden shifting can be made to take place without adversely affecting the economy.
 
     Now, the qualifications in the CBO study are enough to give anyone pause. The validity of percentage income rates realized some ten years in the future alone have to be taken with a grain of salt.
 
     Likewise, there are "assumptions" noted by the CBO in the beginning of the report, which include the now-famous choice of static-modeling (no allowance for economic effects of greater retention of income by taxpayers) as well as the assumption that incomes will increase 4.5% annually between now and 2014, while inflation will remain a flat 2.2% during the same time period (Alan Greenspan is sure to be relieved with this news). 
 
     Add to these the vagaries and temporary lifespans of certain tax cuts, alternative minimum tax impacts, depreciation schedules, and that much of the tax receipts from the top quintiles are dependent upon capital gains, and one can see that the issue is much cloudier than what the media would have us believe.
 
     In fact, any slowing or postponing of capital gains realization, which would result in less income for the government, would by definition "shift the burden" to the lower quintiles that normally do not have capital gains income in the first place (The "upside" for the government of wider homeownership among broader income classes is the "planting" of a potential crop of captial gains payers some 7 or more years into the future, depending upon the turnover of the real estate market. Thus it would seem that it would be best for the country to maximize capital gains realization, rather than stifle it. Perhaps someone had better have a yet another long talk with John Edwards...).
 
     Lastly, the CBO is very clear in its report that it is difficult to pin the numbers down exactly. All the horse-trading with the Democrats (and certain taxaholic Republicans) during the negotiations for these tax bills have schedules coming and going "every which way". The CBO's expectation of a 4.5% increase in incomes annually may not be realized if the reality of the economy is that tax policy favoring tax increases (especially on capital gains) inhibits capital gains realization. This, in turn, could mean less total receipts to the government, less money available for the nation's needs, and the illusion of burden shift simply because the total tax receipt pie was smaller due the half-baked ideas of the class-envy types.
 
     Activists with long memories will remember that these are the same old tactics from campaigns gone by. But it is also clear that without the economic stimulus of the Bush tax cuts, the economic downturn subsequent to the attack on 9-11 would have been more protracted. The need of some partisans to resort to misrepresentation should not stand in the way of the voters apprising themselves of the real situation, at least not in these days of widening Internet access. It is only by diligence, coupled with the ability to access competitive information sources, that the one-sided presentations of the Old Media can be judged for what they are.
 
Story may be found at:
 
 
    
 
 
Respectfully, 
 
Anthony Canales
SFVMC-NRA
 
Copyright 2004 Anthony Canales
All rights reserved.

 
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